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Red68
286939.0
88411.4
51412.0
Blue102
54521.0
87131.0
35822.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655402040608010068102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+36
Endgame+24
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
7Coral scored#12
25Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
39Total teleop65
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points10
68Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#10
39.01.2
28.629.7
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End5.9
red by 8.0
871
#35
31.04.6
24.228.8
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
Second
514
#42
12.01.2
16.517.7
Auto2.2
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 10.8
358
#25
22.84.6
15.720.3
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Third
884
#43
11.41.2
12.413.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 9.6
545
#26
21.04.6
10.615.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed