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Red148
573662.8
87047.9
964615.1
Blue92
1062110.9
52717.2
146851.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1306905010015020014892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+48Teleop
+50Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
82Total teleop62
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
6Foul points0
148Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.81.7
56.558.2
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
red by 11.6
1468
#17
51.22.1
39.942.1
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
Second
870
#3
47.92.8
42.245.0
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
red by 30.7
527
#38
17.22.1
12.514.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Third
9646
#36
15.12.8
12.815.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 4.2
10.92.1
14.316.4
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned