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Red61
234710.6
32948.7
160113.0
Blue91
969237.2
154620.8
80617.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70744060801001206191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points11
15Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
40Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points8
61Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#2
48.70.2
34.033.8
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
red by 11.5
9692
#11
37.21.6
38.440.0
Auto11.9
Teleop22.8
End2.5
Second
1601
#46
13.00.2
16.916.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.0
blue by 7.8
1546
#16
20.81.6
17.819.3
Auto3.0
Teleop16.8
End1.1
Third
2347
#44
10.60.2
9.99.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End1.0
blue by 6.9
806
#37
17.51.6
12.614.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed