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Red33
663611.5
56421.0
456714.9
Blue132
51412.0
216120.2
573662.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4110705015033132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+81
Endgame+91
Fouls+99
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
4Coral points27
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +64
2Coral scored#13
8Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#3
6Processor points18
0Net points12
6Algae points30
14Total teleop78
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#5
4Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +99
0Foul points8
33Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
564
#22
21.01.6
19.818.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3
blue by 41.8
62.81.3
58.259.5
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
Second
4567
#24
14.92.6
15.612.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 5.2
2161
#15
20.22.1
17.319.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End1.5
Third
6636
#30
11.52.6
12.29.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 0.5
514
#42
12.02.1
17.719.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned