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Red96
680620.1
286939.0
81027.0
Blue135
154620.8
445841.2
32948.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99104809011012013096135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+41
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
9Coral scored#18
34Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
62Total teleop98
Reef
3L4#9
4L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points0
96Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#10
39.01.2
33.034.2
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End5.9
blue by 9.7
329
#2
48.75.2
33.838.9
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
Second
810
#18
27.01.2
27.829.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
blue by 14.2
41.25.2
35.540.7
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End2.5
Third
6806
#31
20.11.2
22.523.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.6
blue by 0.7
1546
#16
20.85.2
19.324.5
Auto3.0
Teleop16.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned