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Red107
287537.2
28740.2
642323.2
Blue56
160113.0
155430.0
1062110.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996405015020010756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +45
18Coral scored#8
65Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
85Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
107Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#4
40.21.1
36.437.5
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
red by 10.2
1554
#41
30.00.4
25.725.4
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End2.1
Second
2875
#12
37.21.9
29.831.7
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End0.2
red by 24.2
1601
#46
13.00.4
16.716.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Third
6423
#21
23.21.1
18.719.8
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
red by 12.4
10.90.4
14.213.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed