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Red104
395032.8
87131.0
202726.9
Blue104
49621.4
313721.2
501626.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9688406080120140160180104104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
68Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
2Foul points0
104Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.8
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
red by 5.9
5016
#23
26.9
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
871
#35
31.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
red by 9.7
496
#27
21.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.3
Third
2027
#20
26.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.6
red by 5.7
3137
#28
21.2
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed