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Red144
395032.8
52717.2
32948.7
Blue88
155430.0
202726.9
286939.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84985015014488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+64Teleop
+66Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
29Coral points3
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
19Coral scored#9
67Coral points31
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
99Total teleop55
Reef
9L4#4
8L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points10
144Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#2
48.77.0
38.945.9
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
red by 9.7
2869
#10
39.00.6
34.233.7
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End5.9
Second
32.84.5
23.928.4
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
red by 2.9
1554
#41
30.00.6
25.424.8
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End2.1
Third
527
#38
17.27.0
13.720.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 9.7
2027
#20
26.90.6
23.823.2
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned