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Red71
216120.2
1062110.9
87047.9
Blue50
51412.0
362422.4
56915.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986402040801201401607150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
9Coral scored#4
31Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
35Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points10
71Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#3
47.91.6
46.544.9
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
red by 25.5
3624
#39
22.41.3
19.618.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Second
2161
#15
20.21.6
19.818.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End1.5
red by 4.8
569
#14
15.32.1
19.117.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Third
10.91.6
13.912.3
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 1.1
514
#42
12.02.1
18.516.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed