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Red81
53327.1
501626.9
456714.9
Blue84
56421.0
602415.8
35352.1
26%Model gave it74%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779240601001201408184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points11
16Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
57Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points8
81Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#32
27.10.3
28.328.6
Auto4.4
Teleop19.1
End3.6
blue by 25.0
353
#5
52.10.4
46.846.4
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
Second
5016
#23
26.90.3
28.228.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 5.9
564
#22
21.00.4
17.817.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3
Third
4567
#24
14.90.4
14.514.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 0.8
6024
#34
15.80.6
17.316.7
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed