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Red146
445841.2
80617.5
573662.8
Blue41
81027.0
88411.4
964615.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13053010015020014641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+57Teleop
+69Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points11
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
48Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
38Foul points2
146Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.3
59.058.7
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
red by 35.9
810
#18
27.01.9
29.027.1
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
Second
41.20.5
40.740.1
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End2.5
red by 26.1
9646
#36
15.11.9
17.815.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Third
806
#37
17.50.5
13.513.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End0.9
red by 6.1
884
#43
11.41.9
10.48.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed