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Red70
6014.8
969237.2
2817.5
Blue99
901638.7
642323.2
35822.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759540601201401607099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +24
6Coral scored#15
23Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
39Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
2Foul points6
70Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#11
37.20.5
40.339.8
Auto11.9
Teleop22.8
End2.5
blue by 1.5
9016
#13
38.70.6
41.642.2
Auto7.1
Teleop28.3
End3.3
Second
28
#29
17.50.5
20.720.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End2.0
blue by 5.8
6423
#21
23.20.6
19.820.5
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
Third
601
#48
4.80.5
12.311.7
Auto3.5
Teleop0.8
End0.6
blue by 18.0
358
#25
22.81.0
21.922.9
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed