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Red97
286939.0
395032.8
663611.5
Blue90
146851.2
160113.0
180318.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801022040601201401601809790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
68Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points12
97Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#10
39.02.4
33.736.1
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End5.9
blue by 12.2
1468
#17
51.20.9
48.447.5
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
Second
32.81.6
28.430.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
red by 13.9
1803
#45
18.90.9
20.019.1
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.0
Third
6636
#30
11.52.4
7.69.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 1.5
1601
#46
13.00.9
16.315.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed