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Red119
32948.7
28740.2
216120.2
Blue69
87047.9
52717.2
24878.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112805010015020011969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+46Teleop
+44Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +56
16Coral scored#5
58Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
86Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
6Foul points0
119Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#2
48.71.2
45.947.2
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
red by 0.8
870
#3
47.90.8
44.944.2
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
Second
287
#4
40.20.8
36.237.0
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
red by 23.0
527
#38
17.20.8
20.719.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Third
2161
#15
20.21.2
18.219.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End1.5
red by 11.3
2487
#47
8.90.8
11.410.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned