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Red53
234710.6
35822.8
826730.0
Blue57
56915.3
642323.2
53327.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687240506080901001105357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+6
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
23Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
4Foul points2
53Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.1
27.826.7
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End5.2
red by 3.0
533
#32
27.10.7
28.627.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.1
End3.6
Second
358
#25
22.81.1
22.921.8
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End1.7
blue by 0.4
6423
#21
23.20.7
20.519.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
Third
2347
#44
10.61.1
10.29.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End1.0
blue by 4.7
569
#14
15.31.1
17.015.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed