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Red120
287251.1
216120.2
395032.8
Blue126
28740.2
35352.1
88411.4
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610050150200120126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
34Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
12Coral scored#19
42Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
70Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#8
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
12Foul points0
120Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.5
50.851.3
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End4.4
blue by 1.1
353
#5
52.12.1
48.650.8
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
Second
32.80.5
30.130.6
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
blue by 7.4
287
#4
40.22.1
37.039.1
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
Third
2161
#15
20.20.7
19.420.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End1.5
red by 8.7
884
#43
11.42.8
8.611.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed