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Red40
680620.1
24878.9
2817.5
Blue23
51412.0
52717.2
160113.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59562004006008001,0001,2001,4001,6004023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
4Coral scored#2
15Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
19Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
8Foul points0
40Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6806
#31
20.11.8
21.920.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.6
red by 2.9
527
#38
17.22.4
19.917.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Second
28
#29
17.51.8
19.217.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End2.0
red by 4.5
1601
#46
13.02.4
15.413.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Third
2487
#47
8.91.8
10.68.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.5
blue by 3.1
514
#42
12.02.4
14.412.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed