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Red179
32948.7
146851.2
87047.9
Blue55
501626.9
180318.9
6014.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16645010015020025017955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+98Teleop
+110Endgame
+124Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +84
27Coral scored#9
98Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
126Total teleop42
Reef
10L4#5
11L3#2
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +124
14Foul points0
179Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#17
51.21.9
47.549.3
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
red by 24.3
5016
#23
26.90.1
27.126.9
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
329
#2
48.71.9
47.249.0
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
red by 29.8
1803
#45
18.90.2
19.118.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.0
Third
870
#3
47.91.9
44.246.0
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
red by 43.1
601
#48
4.80.2
5.04.8
Auto3.5
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed