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Red150
26324.0
313721.2
362422.4
Blue96
87131.0
964615.1
53327.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73935015015096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+54Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
18Coral scored#13
66Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
90Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
40Foul points6
150Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#19
24.01.5
21.022.5
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3
blue by 7.0
871
#35
31.01.1
30.429.3
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
Second
3624
#39
22.41.5
20.922.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.0
End0.8
blue by 4.6
533
#32
27.10.7
27.827.1
Auto4.4
Teleop19.1
End3.6
Third
3137
#28
21.22.2
16.018.2
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4
red by 6.2
9646
#36
15.11.0
16.115.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed