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Red100
826730.0
49621.4
54521.0
Blue71
80617.5
1062110.9
56421.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7451010015020010071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +23
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points38
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
73Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points4
100Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.8
26.728.4
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End5.2
red by 9.1
564
#22
21.00.5
19.119.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3
Second
496
#27
21.41.9
19.421.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.3
red by 3.8
806
#37
17.50.7
16.917.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End0.9
Third
545
#26
21.01.8
19.221.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 10.1
10.90.7
10.210.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed