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Red84
602415.8
155430.0
35822.8
Blue85
663611.5
234710.6
445841.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74630501001502002508485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points23
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
55Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
8Foul points8
84Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1554
#41
30.01.1
27.328.4
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End2.1
blue by 11.2
41.21.6
40.241.7
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End2.5
Second
358
#25
22.81.1
21.822.8
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 11.3
6636
#30
11.51.6
9.911.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.5
Third
6024
#34
15.81.1
14.715.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 5.1
2347
#44
10.61.6
9.010.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed