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Red135
35352.1
573662.8
56421.0
Blue98
81027.0
287537.2
501626.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146945020013598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points17
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
6Processor points6
16Net points24
22Algae points30
70Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
135Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.1
61.561.5
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
red by 25.7
2875
#12
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End0.2
Second
353
#5
52.10.1
50.850.8
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
red by 25.1
810
#18
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
Third
564
#22
21.00.1
19.619.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3
blue by 5.9
5016
#23
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2