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Red135
642323.2
28740.2
901638.7
Blue94
969237.2
445841.2
27123.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103109608012014013594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +45
23Coral scored#12
84Coral points43
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
12Processor points0
4Net points12
16Algae points12
100Total teleop55
Reef
10L4#9
5L3#3
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points2
135Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#4
40.20.8
39.139.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
blue by 1.0
41.20.3
41.741.4
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End2.5
Second
9016
#13
38.70.8
37.638.4
Auto7.1
Teleop28.3
End3.3
red by 1.5
9692
#11
37.20.3
37.837.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.8
End2.5
Third
6423
#21
23.20.8
22.122.9
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
red by 0.2
271
#33
23.10.2
23.523.3
Auto3.8
Teleop17.4
End1.8