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Red117
32948.7
52717.2
287251.1
Blue105
87131.0
155430.0
826730.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309350150200117105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points18
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points43
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
97Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
117Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.0
51.351.3
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End4.4
red by 20.0
871
#35
31.00.6
29.329.9
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
Second
329
#2
48.70.0
49.049.0
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
red by 18.7
30.00.5
28.429.0
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End5.2
Third
527
#38
17.20.0
17.517.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 12.8
1554
#41
30.00.5
28.428.9
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End2.1