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Red182
87047.9
26324.0
146851.2
Blue156
395032.8
286939.0
313721.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1429550200182156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#23
73Coral points83
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
24Processor points18
32Net points12
56Algae points30
129Total teleop113
Reef
7L4#8
11L3#10
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points6
182Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#17
51.21.3
49.350.7
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
red by 12.2
2869
#10
39.01.4
36.137.4
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End5.9
Second
870
#3
47.91.3
46.047.4
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
red by 15.1
32.81.0
30.631.6
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
Third
263
#19
24.01.1
22.523.6
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3
red by 2.8
3137
#28
21.21.4
18.219.6
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4