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Red89
501626.9
287537.2
81027.0
Blue98
969237.2
445841.2
27123.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9911360801201401608998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
71Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
89Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
#12
37.20.1
37.237.2
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End0.2
blue by 4.0
41.20.3
41.441.2
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End2.5
Second
810
#18
27.00.1
27.027.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
blue by 10.2
9692
#11
37.20.3
37.437.1
Auto11.9
Teleop22.8
End2.5
Third
5016
#23
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 3.8
271
#33
23.10.2
23.323.1
Auto3.8
Teleop17.4
End1.8