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Red138
826730.0
155430.0
87131.0
Blue146
395032.8
286939.0
313721.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711180100120140160138146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
18Coral scored#24
63Coral points85
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
111Total teleop113
Reef
11L4#11
8L3#8
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
138Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
871
#35
31.01.2
29.931.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
blue by 8.0
2869
#10
39.01.3
37.438.8
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End5.9
Second
30.01.1
29.030.0
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End5.2
blue by 2.8
32.81.0
31.632.6
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
Third
1554
#41
30.01.1
28.930.0
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End2.1
red by 8.7
3137
#28
21.21.3
19.621.0
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4