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Red131
32948.7
52717.2
287251.1
Blue183
146851.2
26324.0
87047.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013180100140160180131183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+48
Endgame+38
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave9
6Coral scored#7
29Coral points35
29Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +33
14Coral scored#21
52Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
76Total teleop109
Reef
6L4#14
6L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points14
131Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.3
51.351.6
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End4.4
blue by 0.2
1468
#17
51.21.3
50.752.0
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
Second
329
#2
48.70.4
49.049.4
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
red by 0.8
870
#3
47.91.3
47.448.6
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
Third
527
#38
17.20.4
17.517.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 6.8
263
#19
24.01.1
23.624.6
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3