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Red245
179692.6
687327.0
69491.4
Blue133
402744.9
457129.8
226524.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24087050150200300350245133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+96Teleop
+106Endgame
+112Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +75
27Coral scored#13
96Coral points45
5Processor algae#3
9Net algae#6
30Processor points18
36Net points24
66Algae points42
162Total teleop87
Reef
14L4#7
10L3#5
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +112
6Foul points0
245Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.60.6
91.492.0
Auto25.0
Teleop57.4
End10.1
red by 47.7
44.90.8
43.744.5
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
Second
694
#2
91.40.6
90.290.9
Auto23.4
Teleop56.3
End11.7
red by 61.6
29.80.8
28.729.4
Auto6.1
Teleop22.8
End0.9
Third
6873
#47
27.00.9
25.426.3
Auto2.1
Teleop23.2
End1.7
red by 2.6
2265
#23
24.40.8
23.324.1
Auto6.3
Teleop16.5
End1.6