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Red102
963621.0
401210.8
402744.9
Blue13
30177.8
727220.2
950911.6
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7743010015020010213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+71Teleop
+81Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
12Coral scored#0
44Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
12Processor points0
4Net points0
16Algae points0
60Total teleop0
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#0
4L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#1
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
8Foul points0
102Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4027
#8Sur
44.92.3
37.539.8
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
red by 24.7
7272
#25Sur
20.22.8
15.612.8
Auto2.2
Teleop15.0
End3.0
Second
9636
#13
21.02.3
11.914.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.8
End2.9
red by 9.4
9509
#48
11.62.8
10.17.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
Third
4012
#33
10.83.4
13.717.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End2.4
red by 3.0
3017
#45
7.81.9
12.610.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed