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Red27
77309.8
943713.8
80615.6
Blue37
33425.6
160114.5
37607.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296102040801001201402737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
2Coral scored#4
6Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop26
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
27Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
806
#42
15.60.0
15.415.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 10.0
334
#12
25.61.1
26.625.5
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Second
9437
#35
13.80.1
10.910.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 0.8
1601
#17
14.51.0
14.713.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Third
7730
#22Sur
9.80.1
1.41.4
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End2.5
red by 1.9
3760
#16
7.81.6
10.08.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed