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Red49
76683.2
429917.5
33325.3
Blue55
1047115.2
64013.2
659013.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5152203040607080904955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
36Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points6
49Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#34
25.30.4
23.523.8
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End3.0
red by 10.1
15.20.5
14.014.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End3.7
Second
4299
#38
17.50.5
16.216.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 4.1
6590
#11
13.40.5
14.615.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Third
7668
#52
3.20.4
4.75.0
Auto1.2
Teleop1.4
End0.7
blue by 10.0
640
#20
13.20.5
15.816.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned