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Red20
234425.2
1045218.7
30535.5
Blue92
35425.9
929527.9
36924.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497902040601001201402092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+62
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
3Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +39
3Coral scored#10
9Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
13Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#4
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
20Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2344
#40
25.23.2
23.119.9
Auto3.0
Teleop21.2
End1.0
blue by 2.7
9295
#21
27.91.4
24.025.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.4
Second
18.73.2
11.48.3
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 7.2
354
#26
25.92.2
20.322.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Third
3053
#51
5.53.2
11.58.3
Auto0.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 18.6
369
#39
24.11.3
25.426.7
Auto2.4
Teleop20.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned