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Red59
950911.6
320419.2
30535.5
Blue90
402744.9
457129.8
160114.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28960204060801201401605990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+41
Endgame+37
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
38Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points0
59Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3204
#31
19.21.2
15.817.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
blue by 25.7
44.90.1
39.839.7
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
Second
9509
#48
11.61.2
7.38.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
blue by 18.2
29.80.1
26.426.3
Auto6.1
Teleop22.8
End0.9
Third
3053
#51
5.51.2
8.39.6
Auto0.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 9.1
1601
#17
14.50.1
13.813.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed