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Red30
542111.8
664817.2
Blue30
727220.2
66367.9
300418.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684901001503030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
Endgame+2
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
20Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
2Foul points0
30Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6648
#36
17.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End1.7
blue by 3.1
7272
#25
20.2
Auto2.2
Teleop15.0
End3.0
Second
5421
#44
11.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 6.4
3004
#24
18.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Third
8.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End1.2
red by 0.4
6636
#29
7.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed