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Red71
115531.8
33325.3
64013.2
Blue111
696925.0
80615.6
964246.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728705010015071111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points22
20Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
47Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#3
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
71Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#14
31.80.4
24.725.1
Auto7.5
Teleop22.9
End1.3
blue by 15.2
46.92.0
40.142.0
Auto11.0
Teleop31.9
End4.0
Second
333
#34
25.30.4
23.824.2
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End3.0
red by 0.2
25.02.0
20.322.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End6.0
Third
640
#20
13.20.7
16.317.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End1.7
blue by 2.4
806
#42
15.62.0
15.417.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned