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Red61
188032.8
1039919.3
1022913.2
Blue71
1047115.2
234425.2
529832.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6574020401001201401606171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
47Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
61Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#30
32.80.0
32.632.6
Auto5.6
Teleop24.9
End2.3
red by 0.5
5298
#18
32.30.3
31.932.2
Auto5.3
Teleop24.9
End2.1
Second
19.30.0
17.417.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 5.9
2344
#40
25.20.5
19.920.4
Auto3.0
Teleop21.2
End1.0
Third
13.20.0
11.311.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 2.0
15.20.5
14.515.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed