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Red159
77309.8
37607.8
69491.4
Blue144
39511.8
35425.9
179692.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9913950150200159144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+21
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
12Coral scored#22
42Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
78Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#13
6L3#4
2L2#8
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#32
BargeRed +6
18Cage & park12
18Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
36Foul points0
159Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
91.41.5
79.981.3
Auto23.4
Teleop56.3
End11.7
blue by 1.2
92.61.2
83.885.0
Auto25.0
Teleop57.4
End10.1
Second
7730
#22
9.81.5
1.42.8
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End2.5
blue by 16.1
354
#26
25.92.0
22.424.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Third
3760
#16
7.82.5
8.410.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 4.0
395
#19
11.81.2
8.59.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed