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Red52
963621.0
300418.2
703617.5
Blue7
66367.9
7439.6
51236.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50430206080100527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +38
7Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
38Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#0
3L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
4Foul points0
52Total score7

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9636
#13
21.00.3
14.214.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.8
End2.9
red by 11.4
743
#50
9.63.4
13.29.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Second
3004
#24
18.20.4
14.114.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End1.9
red by 10.2
6636
#29
7.92.0
14.612.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Third
7036
#41
17.50.5
14.915.4
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End2.8
red by 10.6
5123
#46
6.93.4
9.96.5
Auto0.3
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed