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Red141
922032.9
341938.0
542111.8
Blue54
687327.0
33511.3
1041317.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8557010015014154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+47Teleop
+59Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
67Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
28Foul points0
141Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.02.3
35.838.0
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End6.0
red by 10.9
6873
#47
27.00.7
23.022.3
Auto2.1
Teleop23.2
End1.7
Second
32.93.8
18.722.4
Auto6.5
Teleop26.0
End0.4
red by 15.4
17.50.7
15.414.7
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
5421
#44
11.83.8
13.617.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End1.4
red by 0.5
335
#28
11.30.7
10.810.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed