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Red117
1045218.7
429917.5
964246.9
Blue58
30535.5
696925.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8148010015011758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#6
48Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
6Processor points0
12Net points16
18Algae points16
66Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
22Foul points2
117Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.91.3
42.043.4
Auto11.0
Teleop31.9
End4.0
red by 21.9
25.00.5
22.322.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End6.0
Second
18.72.2
8.310.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 10.4
8.40.9
13.114.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
4299
#38
17.52.2
18.520.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 12.0
3053
#51
5.50.9
9.610.5
Auto0.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed