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Red82
659013.4
963621.0
659330.8
Blue81
160114.5
929527.9
188032.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5585020401001201401608281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points9
22Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +2
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
54Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
82Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.3
22.123.4
Auto8.4
Teleop17.2
End5.2
blue by 2.0
1880
#30
32.80.6
32.632.0
Auto5.6
Teleop24.9
End2.3
Second
9636
#13
21.01.3
14.515.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.8
End2.9
blue by 6.9
9295
#21
27.90.6
26.525.9
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.4
Third
6590
#11
13.42.1
15.217.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.4
blue by 1.1
1601
#17
14.50.6
13.613.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed