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Red59
950911.6
687327.0
7439.6
Blue65
320419.2
1047115.2
1041317.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50572040805965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
43Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points20
59Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6873
#47
27.00.5
22.322.8
Auto2.1
Teleop23.2
End1.7
red by 7.8
3204
#31
19.21.1
17.115.9
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
Second
9509
#48
11.60.5
8.59.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
blue by 5.9
17.51.1
14.713.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
743
#50
9.60.5
9.810.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 5.6
15.21.1
15.013.8
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed