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Red125
39511.8
69491.4
51236.9
Blue91
873922.9
401210.8
341938.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1157605010015012591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points17
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +23
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
76Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points4
125Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
91.41.2
81.382.6
Auto23.4
Teleop56.3
End11.7
red by 53.5
38.00.9
38.038.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End6.0
Second
395
#19
11.81.2
9.710.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 11.1
8739
#15
22.90.9
18.519.3
Auto4.0
Teleop16.8
End2.1
Third
5123
#46
6.92.1
6.58.5
Auto0.3
Teleop6.2
End0.4
blue by 3.9
4012
#33
10.81.4
15.016.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned