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Red100
64013.2
922032.9
33425.6
Blue73
1045218.7
703617.5
35425.9
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77590204010012014010073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
73Total teleop48
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points12
100Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.92.7
22.425.2
Auto6.5
Teleop26.0
End0.4
red by 7.0
354
#26
25.90.6
24.425.0
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Second
334
#12
25.61.6
24.225.9
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End0.3
red by 6.9
18.70.6
10.511.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
640
#20
13.22.7
17.019.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End1.7
blue by 4.3
7036
#41
17.50.6
15.416.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed