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Red38
1022913.2
234425.2
Blue74
33511.3
33325.3
943713.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53492030406070803874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +35
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
26Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
38Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2344
#40
25.21.8
20.418.6
Auto3.0
Teleop21.2
End1.0
blue by 0.1
333
#34
25.31.5
24.225.7
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End3.0
Second
13.21.1
11.310.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 0.5
9437
#35
13.82.5
9.712.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
8.41.8
14.012.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 3.0
335
#28
11.32.5
10.112.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed