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Red128
300418.2
179692.6
37607.8
Blue91
66367.9
115531.8
36924.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1386605010015020012891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
79Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points2
128Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.60.0
85.085.0
Auto25.0
Teleop57.4
End10.1
red by 60.8
1155
#14
31.80.9
25.126.0
Auto7.5
Teleop22.9
End1.3
Second
3004
#24
18.20.0
14.514.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End1.9
blue by 5.9
369
#39
24.10.9
26.727.6
Auto2.4
Teleop20.2
End1.5
Third
3760
#16
7.80.1
10.910.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 0.1
6636
#29
7.90.9
12.613.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed