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Red98
188032.8
226524.4
727220.2
Blue83
33425.6
1041317.5
950911.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775601001509883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
18Processor points12
8Net points4
26Algae points16
72Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points0
98Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#30
32.81.9
32.033.9
Auto5.6
Teleop24.9
End2.3
red by 7.2
334
#12
25.61.5
25.927.4
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Second
2265
#23
24.41.9
20.021.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.5
End1.6
red by 6.9
17.52.5
13.516.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
7272
#25
20.23.2
11.314.5
Auto2.2
Teleop15.0
End3.0
red by 8.6
9509
#48
11.62.5
9.011.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed