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Red87
402744.9
39511.8
64013.2
Blue48
33511.3
58069.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8238020601001201401608748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
7Coral scored#4
24Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
32Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
18Foul points12
87Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.7
40.139.4
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
red by 33.5
335
#28
11.30.7
12.511.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Second
640
#20
13.21.2
19.818.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 3.3
5806
#49
9.80.7
10.19.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Third
395
#19
11.80.7
10.910.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 3.4
8.40.7
12.111.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed