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Red58
36924.1
943713.8
703617.5
Blue103
320419.2
341938.0
115531.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5897015058103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+37
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
43Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
58Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#39
24.10.1
27.627.8
Auto2.4
Teleop20.2
End1.5
blue by 13.9
38.01.3
38.940.2
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End6.0
Second
7036
#41
17.50.2
16.016.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 14.2
1155
#14
31.81.3
26.027.3
Auto7.5
Teleop22.9
End1.3
Third
9437
#35
13.80.2
12.212.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 5.5
3204
#31
19.22.1
15.918.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned